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Retarder l’âge d’ouverture des droits à la retraite provoque-t-il un déversement de l’assurance-retraite vers l’assurance-maladie ? L’effet de la réforme des retraites de 2010 sur l’absence-maladie

Abstract : In 2010, a new reform of the French pension system took place. It consisted in delaying the pension eligibility age by 2 extra-years within a rather short transition period as only the 1950-1955 generations were concerned. While the stated objective of the reform was the increase of senior workers’ labour supply and the reduction of the pension insurance deficit, a number of studies have shown that similar reforms usually induce collateral effects as well, including shifts towards alternative insurance schemes such as unemployment or disability. In this paper, we use administrative data from the Hygie panel 2005-2015 to assess another indirect effect; namely the effect on sick-leave. This, we believe, is an important issue as if such an effect turns out to be significant, then that would imply that while the reform aimed at reducing the pension insurance deficit, it actually also widened that of the public health insurance. We consider alternative measures of sickness absence and show that the reform has indeed resulted in a significant increase in these. This is true for the whole population although the highlighted effects are gender-sensitive: While the estimated effects on the probability of sick leave are higher for women, they are lower when it comes to the duration of absence spells.
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https://hal-polytechnique.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03509628
Contributor : Mohamed Ali Ben Halima Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Tuesday, January 4, 2022 - 11:26:25 AM
Last modification on : Wednesday, January 19, 2022 - 3:09:49 AM

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  • HAL Id : hal-03509628, version 1

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Mohamed Ali Ben Halima, Camille Ciriez, Malik Koubi, Ali Skalli. Retarder l’âge d’ouverture des droits à la retraite provoque-t-il un déversement de l’assurance-retraite vers l’assurance-maladie ? L’effet de la réforme des retraites de 2010 sur l’absence-maladie. 2022. ⟨hal-03509628⟩

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